The most actively traded prediction markets on Polymarket right now, ranked by cumulative trading volume. High volume indicates strong market consensus and tighter spreads — the best conditions for entering or exiting positions.
All categories combined. Volume indicates liquidity depth and ease of entry/exit.
| # | Market | Current Odds (YES) | Category | Total Volume | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ⚽ | Which team wins FIFA World Cup 2026? #1 Volume |
Spain 28%
|
Sports | $52.1M | Trade |
| 2 | ₿ | Bitcoin reaches $200,000 before Dec 31, 2026 |
29%
|
Crypto | $45.1M | Trade |
| 3 | ₿ | Bitcoin reaches $150,000 before Dec 31, 2026 |
54%
|
Crypto | $38.7M | Trade |
| 4 | ⚽ | France wins FIFA World Cup 2026 |
18%
|
Sports | $31.4M | Trade |
| 5 | 🗳️ | Democrats win US House majority (Nov 2026) |
47%
|
Politics | $28.4M | Trade |
| 6 | ⚽ | England wins FIFA World Cup 2026 |
14%
|
Sports | $24.8M | Trade |
| 7 | Ξ | Ethereum (ETH) hits $5,000 in 2026 |
44%
|
Crypto | $22.3M | Trade |
| 8 | 📉 | US enters recession in 2026 |
24%
|
Economy | $21.0M | Trade |
| 9 | 🗳️ | Republicans retain US Senate majority (Nov 2026) |
71%
|
Politics | $19.8M | Trade |
| 10 | 🏦 | Fed cuts rates at September 2026 FOMC meeting |
68%
|
Economy | $19.2M | Trade |
| 11 | 🗳️ | Trump signs crypto market structure bill in 2026 |
74%
|
Politics | $17.8M | Trade |
| 12 | 📜 | SEC approves spot Solana ETF in 2026 |
78%
|
Crypto | $16.4M | Trade |
| 13 | 🇺🇦 | Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement signed in 2026 |
41%
|
Geopolitics | $14.2M | Trade |
| 14 | 🏦 | Fed cuts rates at July 2026 FOMC meeting |
42%
|
Economy | $13.6M | Trade |
| 15 | ₿ | Bitcoin ETF cumulative inflows exceed $100B |
61%
|
Crypto | $12.1M | Trade |
| 16 | 🏆 | Real Madrid wins Champions League 2025–26 |
26%
|
Sports | $11.8M | Trade |
| 17 | 🗳️ | Trump approval rating above 50% at end of 2026 |
31%
|
Politics | $11.2M | Trade |
| 18 | 📈 | S&P 500 hits 7,000 before end of 2026 |
61%
|
Economy | $14.5M | Trade |
| 19 | ⚽ | Brazil wins FIFA World Cup 2026 |
12%
|
Sports | $18.3M | Trade |
| 20 | 🏛️ | US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve expanded in 2026 |
53%
|
Crypto/Politics | $8.3M | Trade |
* Data is indicative and may differ from live Polymarket state. Volume figures approximate. Click "Trade" to see current live prices on Polymarket.
See which categories dominate Polymarket trading volume and where the most active price discovery happens.
The dominant category on Polymarket. US elections, legislation, geopolitics. Real-time crowd forecasting that often outperforms traditional polling models.
Bitcoin and altcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulatory decisions and DeFi milestones. Highly correlated with actual BTC/ETH price movements.
The largest by market count. World Cup, Champions League, NFL, NBA, UFC, tennis and more. Match outcomes, tournament winners, player props and milestones.
Fed rate decisions, inflation data, GDP, equity index levels and macro forecasts. Often benchmarked against CME futures for cross-market analysis.
Entertainment, awards shows, pop culture milestones, celebrity events and media. Lower volume than political/crypto markets but growing rapidly in 2026.
AI breakthroughs, space exploration, pharmaceutical approvals and technology milestones. Attracts informed specialists who trade on domain expertise.