Real-time odds and crowd-sourced probabilities from Polymarket's most active markets — politics, crypto, sports, economy, culture and science. Browse, filter and find your next trade.
US midterms, global elections, legislation, geopolitical events. The most traded category on Polymarket with $780M+ cumulative volume.
| # | Market | YES Probability | Implied Odds | Volume | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇺🇸 | Democrats win US House majority (Nov 2026) Hot |
47%
|
2.13× | $28.4M | Trade |
| 2 | 🇺🇸 | Republicans retain US Senate majority (Nov 2026) |
71%
|
1.41× | $19.8M | Trade |
| 3 | 🇺🇸 | Trump signs crypto market structure bill in 2026 High Prob |
74%
|
1.35× | $17.8M | Trade |
| 4 | 🇺🇸 | Trump approval rating above 50% at end of 2026 |
31%
|
3.23× | $11.2M | Trade |
| 5 | 🇬🇧 | UK Labour wins next general election |
62%
|
1.61× | $8.4M | Trade |
| 6 | 🇩🇪 | Germany's coalition government survives 2026 |
58%
|
1.72× | $6.7M | Trade |
| 7 | 🇫🇷 | France snap election before end of 2026 |
22%
|
4.55× | $5.9M | Trade |
| 8 | 🇺🇦 | Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement signed in 2026 |
41%
|
2.44× | $14.2M | Trade |
Bitcoin & altcoin price targets, ETF inflows, regulatory decisions and DeFi milestones. $540M+ cumulative volume.
| # | Market | YES Probability | Implied Odds | Volume | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ₿ | Bitcoin reaches $200,000 before Dec 31, 2026 Hot |
29%
|
3.45× | $45.1M | Trade |
| 2 | ₿ | Bitcoin reaches $150,000 before Dec 31, 2026 |
54%
|
1.85× | $38.7M | Trade |
| 3 | Ξ | Ethereum (ETH) hits $5,000 in 2026 |
44%
|
2.27× | $22.3M | Trade |
| 4 | 📜 | SEC approves spot Solana ETF in 2026 High Prob |
78%
|
1.28× | $16.4M | Trade |
| 5 | ₿ | Bitcoin ETF cumulative inflows exceed $100B |
61%
|
1.64× | $12.1M | Trade |
| 6 | 🪙 | Solana (SOL) price above $500 by end of 2026 |
38%
|
2.63× | $9.7M | Trade |
| 7 | 🏛️ | US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve expanded in 2026 |
53%
|
1.89× | $8.3M | Trade |
FIFA World Cup 2026, Champions League, NBA, UFC, tennis and more. Match outcomes, tournament winners and player props. $390M+ cumulative volume.
| # | Market | YES Probability | Implied Odds | Volume | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain wins FIFA World Cup 2026 Favorite |
28%
|
3.57× | $52.1M | Trade | |
| 2 | France wins FIFA World Cup 2026 |
18%
|
5.56× | $31.4M | Trade | |
| 3 | England wins FIFA World Cup 2026 |
14%
|
7.14× | $24.8M | Trade | |
| 4 | 🏆 | Real Madrid wins UEFA Champions League 2025–26 |
26%
|
3.85× | $11.8M | Trade |
| 5 | 🏀 | Golden State Warriors win NBA Championship 2026 |
14%
|
7.14× | $8.1M | Trade |
| 6 | 🎾 | Novak Djokovic wins Wimbledon 2026 |
28%
|
3.57× | $6.9M | Trade |
Federal Reserve decisions, inflation, GDP, equity indices and macro forecasts. $220M+ cumulative volume.
| # | Market | YES Probability | Implied Odds | Volume | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🏦 | Fed cuts rates at September 2026 FOMC meeting Hot |
68%
|
1.47× | $19.2M | Trade |
| 2 | 🏦 | Fed cuts rates at July 2026 FOMC meeting |
42%
|
2.38× | $13.6M | Trade |
| 3 | 📉 | US enters recession in 2026 |
24%
|
4.17× | $21.0M | Trade |
| 4 | 📈 | S&P 500 hits 7,000 before end of 2026 |
61%
|
1.64× | $14.5M | Trade |
| 5 | 💹 | US inflation falls below 2.5% by end of 2026 |
52%
|
1.92× | $10.8M | Trade |
Entertainment, awards, AI, space and technology milestones. Niche but surprisingly liquid markets.